December 17, 2019
A simple mathematical model of the aging process for long-lived organisms is considered. The key point in this model is the assumption that the body does not have internal clocks that count out the chronological time at scales of decades. At these scales, we may limit ourselves by empirical consideration only the background (smoothed, averaged) processes. The body is dealing with internal biological factors, which can be considered as the biological clocks in suitable paramet...
August 3, 2020
The gradual accumulation of damage and dysregulation during the aging of living organisms can be quantified. Even so, the aging process is complex and has multiple interacting physiological scales -- from the molecular to cellular to whole tissues. In the face of this complexity, we can significantly advance our understanding of aging with the use of computational models that simulate realistic individual trajectories of health as well as mortality. To do so, they must be sys...
April 30, 2019
Various features of the development of individual living species, including individual humans, are programmed. Is death also programmed, and if yes, how is it implemented and what can be the underlying mechanism providing the inevitability of death? The hypothesis presented in this paper is based on the similarity of the human evolution to the evolution of simple discrete nonlinear fractional (with power-law memory) systems. Caputo fractional/fractional difference logistic ma...
December 18, 2023
Aging, as defined in terms of the slope of the probability of death versus time (hazard curve), is a generic phenomenon observed in nearly all complex systems. Theoretical models of aging predict hazard curves that monotonically increase in time, in discrepancy with the peculiar ups and downs observed in empirically. Here we introduce the concept of co-aging, where the demographic trajectories of multiple cohorts couple together, and show that co-aging dynamics can account fo...
October 19, 2007
The evolution of complexity has been a central theme for Biology [2] and Artificial Life research [1]. It is generally agreed that complexity has increased in our universe, giving way to life, multi-cellularity, societies, and systems of higher complexities. However, the mechanisms behind the complexification and its relation to evolution are not well understood. Moreover complexification can be used to mean different things in different contexts. For example, complexificatio...
August 19, 2005
We derive a universal function for the kinetics of complex systems. This kinetic function unifies and generalizes previous theoretical attempts to describe what has been called "fractal kinetic".The concentration evolutionary equation is formally similar to the relaxation function obtained in the stochastic theory of relaxation, with two exponents a and n. The first one is due to memory effects and short-range correlations and the second one finds its origin in the long-range...
December 23, 2003
Author's early work on aging is developed to yield a relationship between life spans and the velocity of aging. The mathematical analysis shows that the mean extent of the advancement of aging throughout one's life is conserved, or equivalently, the product of the mean life span, and the mean rate of aging is constant. The result is in harmony with our experiences: It accounts for the unlimited replicability of tumor cells, and predicts the prolonged life spans of hibernating...
April 22, 2004
The Gompertz model since 1825 has significantly contributed to interpretation of ageing in biological and social sciences. However, in modern research findings, it is clear that the Gompertz model is not successful to describe the whole demographic trajectories. In this letter, a new demographic model is introduced especially to describe human demographic trajectories, for example, for Sweden (2002). The new model is derived from the Weibull model with an age-dependent shape ...
June 15, 2021
Infant deaths and old age deaths are very different. The former are mostly due to severe congenital malformations of one or a small number of specific organs. On the contrary, old age deaths are largely the outcome of a long process of deterioration which starts in the 20s and affects almost all organs. In terms of age-specific death rates, there is also a clear distinction: the infant death rate falls off with age, whereas the adult and old age death rate increases exponenti...
August 29, 2023
It is a commonplace perception that speed of time subjectively experienced by humans significantly differs from chronological (objective) time and shows a great deal of variability. An often cited example is the phenomenon of the time acceleration with age - subjectively, the time passes faster as we get older. While the exact mechanisms behind it are not yet fully established, here we consider three 'soft' (conceptual) mathematical models that might be applicable to the spee...