Moments of random multiplicative functions, I: Low moments, better than squareroot cancellation, and critical multiplicative chaos

We consider partial sums of a weighted Steinhaus random multiplicative function and view this as a model for the Riemann zeta function. We give a description of the tails and high moments of this object. Using these we determine the likely maximum of $T \log T$ independently sampled copies of our sum and find that this is in agreement with a conjecture of Farmer--Gonek--Hughes on the maximum of the Riemann zeta function. We also consider the question of almost sure bounds. We...

Let $\varepsilon >0$. Let $f$ be a Steinhaus or Rademacher random multiplicative function. We prove that we have almost surely, as $x \to +\infty$, $$ \sum_{n \leqslant x} f(n) \ll \sqrt{x} (\log_2 x)^{\frac{1}{4}+ \varepsilon}. $$ Thanks to Harper's Lower bound, this gives a sharp upper bound of the largest fluctuation of the quantity $\sum_{n \leqslant x} f(n)$.

We study sums of a random multiplicative function; this is an example, of number-theoretic interest, of sums of products of independent random variables (chaoses). Using martingale methods, we establish a normal approximation for the sum over those n \leq x with k distinct prime factors, provided that k = o(log log x) as x \rightarrow \infty. We estimate the fourth moments of these sums, and use a conditioning argument to show that if k is of the order of magnitude of log log...

We show that for a Steinhaus random multiplicative function $f:\mathbb{N}\to\mathbb{D}$ and any polynomial $P(x)\in\mathbb{Z}[x]$ of $\text{deg}\ P\ge 2$ which is not of the form $w(x+c)^{d}$ for some $w\in \mathbb{Z}$, $c\in \mathbb{Q}$, we have \[\frac{1}{\sqrt{x}}\sum_{n\le x} f(P(n)) \xrightarrow{d} \mathcal{CN}(0,1),\] where $\mathcal{CN}(0,1)$ is the standard complex Gaussian distribution with mean $0$ and variance $1.$ This confirms a conjecture of Najnudel in a strong...

We investigate the low moments $\mathbb{E}[|A_N|^{2q}],\, 0<q\leq 1$ of secular coefficients $A_N$ of the critical non-Gaussian holomorphic multiplicative chaos, i.e. coefficients of $z^N$ in the power series expansion of $\exp(\sum_{k=1}^\infty X_kz^k/\sqrt{k})$, where $\{X_k\}_{k\geq 1}$ are i.i.d. rotationally invariant unit variance complex random variables. Inspired by Harper's remarkable result on random multiplicative functions, Soundararajan and Zaman recently showed ...

We give lower bounds for the small moments of the sum of a random multiplicative function, which improve on some results of Bondarenko and Seip and constitute further progress towards (dis)proving a conjecture of Helson. We also prove asymptotics for the even integer moments. The latter have also been obtained very recently and independently by Heap and Lindqvist. Our proofs involve general lower bound techniques for random multiplicative functions, mean value results for mul...

For $X(n)$ a Rademacher or Steinhaus random multiplicative function, we consider the random polynomials $$ P_N(\theta) = \frac1{\sqrt{N}} \sum_{n\leq N} X(n) e(n\theta), $$ and show that the $2k$-th moments on the unit circle $$ \int_0^1 \big| P_N(\theta) \big|^{2k}\, d\theta $$ tend to Gaussian moments in the sense of mean-square convergence, uniformly for $k \ll (\log N / \log \log N)^{1/3}$, but that in contrast to the case of i.i.d. coefficients, this behavior does not pe...

For $X(n)$ a Steinhaus random multiplicative function, we study the maximal size of the random Dirichlet polynomial $$ D_N(t) = \frac1{\sqrt{N}} \sum_{n \leq N} X(n) n^{it}, $$ with $t$ in various ranges. In particular, for fixed $C>0$ and any small $\varepsilon>0$ we show that, with high probability, $$ \exp( (\log N)^{1/2-\varepsilon} ) \ll \sup_{|t| \leq N^C} |D_N(t)| \ll \exp( (\log N)^{1/2+\varepsilon}). $$

We show that if $f$ is the random completely multiplicative function, the probability that $\sum_{n\le x}\frac{f(n)}{n}$ is positive for every $x$ is at least $1-10^{-45}$, while also strictly smaller than $1$. For large $x$, we prove an asymptotic upper bound of $O(\exp(-\exp( \frac{\log x}{C\log \log x })))$ on the exceptional probability that a particular truncation is negative, where $C$ is some positive constant.

We investigate a special sequence of random variables $A(N)$ defined by an exponential power series with independent standard complex Gaussians $(X(k))_{k \geq 1}$. Introduced by Hughes, Keating, and O'Connell in the study of random matrix theory, this sequence relates to Gaussian multiplicative chaos (in particular "holomorphic multiplicative chaos'' per Najnudel, Paquette, and Simm) and random multiplicative functions. Soundararajan and Zaman recently determined the order o...