Moore's Law is dead, long live Moore's Law!

The theoretical and practical aspects of the fundamental, ultimate, physical limits to scaling, or Moore-s law, is presented.

Moore's law and two equations allow to explain the main trends of CPU evolution since MOS technologies have been used to implement microprocessors.

For the last 60 years, advances in conventional computing platforms have been driven by the empirical notion known as Moores law. In its essence, Moores law is a ubiquitous description of the exponential increase in transistor density acting as a proxy for computing power as a function of time. While this trend started as an interesting observation, it has evolved into a self-fulfilling prophecy used to drive the entire semiconductor industry. Arguments for or against the end...

As it is pretty sure that Moore's law will end some day, questioning about the post-Moore era is more than interesting. Similarly, looking for new computing paradigms that could provide solutions is important. Revisiting the history of digital electronics since the 60's provide significant insights on the conditions for the success of a new emerging technology to replace the currently dominant one. Specifically, the past shows when constraints and {\guillemotleft} walls {\gui...

Moore's Law and Dennard Scaling have guided the semiconductor industry for the past few decades. Recently, both laws have faced validity challenges as transistor sizes approach the practical limits of physics. We are interested in testing the validity of these laws and reflect on the reasons responsible. In this work, we collect data of more than 4000 publicly-available CPU and GPU products. We find that transistor scaling remains critical in keeping the laws valid. However, ...

An indispensable part of our lives, computing has also become essential to industries and governments. Steady improvements in computer hardware have been supported by periodic doubling of transistor densities in integrated circuits over the last fifty years. Such Moore scaling now requires increasingly heroic efforts, stimulating research in alternative hardware and stirring controversy. To help evaluate emerging technologies and enrich our understanding of integrated-circuit...

Computing has dramatically changed nearly every aspect of our lives, from business and agriculture to communication and entertainment. As a nation, we rely on computing in the design of systems for energy, transportation and defense; and computing fuels scientific discoveries that will improve our fundamental understanding of the world and help develop solutions to major challenges in health and the environment. Computing has changed our world, in part, because our innovation...

The inability of Moore's Law and other figure-of-merits (FOMs) to accurately explain the technology development of the semiconductor industry demands a holistic merit to guide the industry. Here we introduce a FOM termed CLEAR that accurately postdicts technology developments since the 1940's until today, and predicts photonics as a logical extension to keep-up the pace of information-handling machines. We show that CLEAR (Capability-to-Latency-Energy-Amount-Resistance) is mu...

Denizens of Silicon Valley have called Moore's Law "the most important graph in human history," and economists have found that Moore's Law-powered I.T. revolution has been one of the most important sources of national productivity growth. But data substantiating these claims tend to either be abstracted - for example by examining spending on I.T., rather than I.T. itself - or anecdotal. In this paper, we assemble direct quantitative evidence of the impact that computing power...

This paper presents a brief journey to the evolution of computer hardware and software, and underlines that shift to multicore technology is natual part of the evolution, and highlights the various laws governing the advancement of computer industry. Looking to these, it appears that the HW-SW industry trend can be represented by a mathematical model, for which future developments are predictable. Finally, the paper establishes that future of computer industry lies in more th...