September 7, 2013
We argue that the stochastic dynamics of interacting agents which replicate, mutate and die constitutes a non-equilibrium physical process akin to aging in complex materials. Specifically, our study uses extensive computer simulations of the Tangled Nature Model (TNM) of biological evolution to show that punctuated equilibria successively generated by the model's dynamics have increasing entropy and are separated by increasing entropic barriers. We further show that these sta...
October 24, 2022
There has been a recent surge of interest in what causes aging. This has been matched by unprecedented research investment in the field from tech companies. But, despite considerable effort from a broad range of researchers, we do not have a rigorous mathematical theory of programmed aging. To address this, we recently derived a mortality equation that governs the transition matrix of an evolving population with a given maximum age. Here, we characterize the spectrum of eigen...
August 27, 2008
New models for evolutionary processes of mutation accumulation allow hypotheses about the age-specificity of mutational effects to be translated into predictions of heterogeneous population hazard functions. We apply these models to questions in the biodemography of longevity, including proposed explanations of Gompertz hazards and mortality plateaus, and use them to explore the possibility of melding evolutionary and functional models of aging.
August 28, 2001
A simple evolutionary model for biological ageing is modified such that it requires a minimum population for survival, like in human society. This social effect leads to a transition between extinction and survival of the species.
February 21, 2001
We combine the Penna Model for biological aging, which is based on the mutation-accumulation theory, with a sort of antagonistic pleiotropy. We show that depending on how the pleiotropy is introduced, it is possible to reproduce both the humans mortality, which increases exponentially with age, and fruitfly mortality, which decelerates at old ages, allowing the appearance of arbitrarily old Methuselah's.
January 27, 2013
Although species longevity is subject to a diverse range of selective forces, the mortality curves of a wide variety of organisms are rather similar. We argue that aging and its universal characteristics may have evolved by means of a gradual increase in the systemic interdependence between a large collection of biochemical or mechanical components. Modeling the organism as a dependency network which we create using a constructive evolutionary process, we age it by allowing n...
July 7, 2021
When computing the expected value of time till extinction of a Birth and Death process, the usual textbook approach results in an extreme case of numerical ill-conditioning, which prevents us from getting accurate answers beyond the first few low-lying states; in this brief note we present a potential solution, together with a novel derivation of related formulas.
November 29, 2005
The Penna model is a model of evolutionary ageing through mutation accumulation where traditionally time and the age of an organism are treated as discrete variables and an organism's genome by a binary bit string. We reformulate the asexual Penna model and show that, a universal scale invariance emerges as we increase the number of discrete genome bits to the limit of a continuum. The continuum model, introduced by Almeida and Thomas in [Int.J.Mod.Phys.C, 11, 1209 (2000)] ca...
July 10, 2013
I present a stochastic population model that combines cooperative interactions of the type often used in physics with the process of reproduction and death familiar to biology, and I refer to reasons why such interlocking may be of interest to both fields.
July 23, 2001
Since its proposition in 1995, the Heumann-Hotzel model has remained as an obscure model of biological aging. The main arguments used against it were its apparent inability to describe populations with many age intervals and its failure to prevent a population extinction when only deleterious mutations are present. We find that with a simple and minor change in the model these difficulties can be surmounted. Our numerical simulations show a plethora of interesting features: t...