Analysis of Stochstic Evolution

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main goal is to provide a series of exact results on the dynamics and asymptotic behaviour of increasingly complex versions of a basic multiplicative process with resets, including discrete and continuous-time variants and several degrees of rando...

Power-law distributions with various exponents are studied. We first introduce a simple and generic model that reproduces Zipf's law. We can regard this model both as the time evolution of the population of cities and that of the asset distribution. We show that our model is very robust against various variations. Next, we explain theoretically why our model reproduces Zipf's law. By considering the time-evolution equation of our model, we see that the essence of Zipf's law i...

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse both high-frequency tick-by-tick as well as daily closing price data to show that the price fluctuations in the Indian stock market, one of the largest emergin...

Following the work of Okuyama, Takayasu and Takayasu [Okuyama, Takayasu and Takayasu 1999] we analyze huge databases of Japanese companies' financial figures and confirm that the Zipf's law, a power law distribution with the exponent -1, has been maintained over 30 years in the income distribution of Japanese companies with very high precision. Similar power laws are found not only in income distribution of company's income, but also in the distributions of capital, sales and...

The notion of fractality, in the context of positive-valued probability distributions, is conventionally associated with the class of Paretian probability laws. In this research we show that the Paretian class is merely one out of six classes of probability laws - all equally entitled to be ordained fractal, all possessing a characteristic power-law structure, and all being the unique fixed points of renormalizations acting on the space of positive-valued probability distribu...

We show that there is a common mode of origin for the power laws observed in two different models: (i) the Pareto law for the distribution of money among the agents with random saving propensities in an ideal gas-like market model and (ii) the Gutenberg-Richter law for the distribution of overlaps in a fractal-overlap model for earthquakes. We find that the power laws appear as the asymptotic forms of ever-widening log-normal distributions for the agents' money and the overla...

This paper addresses the statistical properties of time series driven by rational bubbles a la Blanchard and Watson (1982), corresponding to multiplicative maps, whose study has recently be revived recently in physics as a mechanism of intermittent dynamics generating power law distributions. Using insights on the behavior of multiplicative stochastic processes, we demonstrate that the tails of the unconditional distribution emerging from such bubble processes follow power-la...

This is a pedagogical review of the the Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model: w_i(t+1) = lambda * w_i(t) + a * W (t) - c * W (t) * w_i(t) where i=1, >......, N and W= (w_1 + w_2 + ...w_N)/N is the average of the w_i's. The GLV models provide a generic method to simulate, analyze and understand a wide class of phenomena which are characterized by (truncated) power-law probability distributions: P(w) dw ~ w**(-1 -alpha) dw and (truncated) Levy flights fluctuations L_alpha (W)...

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic evolutionary models for the growth of complex networks that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get richer'' phenomenon. Despite the generality of the proposed stochastic models, there are still some unexplained phenomena, which may arise due to the limited size of networks such as protein and e-mail networks. Such networks may in fact exhi...

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high frequency market data. Our model provides a link between two well-known market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock market returns on one hand and 'herding' ...