Murmurations and Sato-Tate Conjectures for High Rank Zetas of Elliptic Curves

This article deals with the coherence of the model given by the Cohen-Lenstra heuristic philosophy for class groups and also for their generalizations to Tate-Shafarevich groups. More precisely, our first goal is to extend a previous result due to E. Fouvry and J. Kl\"uners which proves that a conjecture provided by the Cohen-Lenstra philosophy implies another such conjecture. As a consequence of our work, we can deduce, for example, a conjecture for the probability laws of $...

Extending the former work for the good reduction case, we provide a numerical criterion to verify a large portion of the "Iwasawa main conjecture without $p$-adic $L$-functions" for elliptic curves with additive reduction at an odd prime $p$ over the cyclotomic $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extension. We also deduce the corresponding $p$-part of the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer formula for elliptic curves of rank zero from the same numerical criterion. We give explicit examples at the end and ...

In this expository note, we present an approach to the generalization of Serre of the Sato-Tate Conjecture. Most of its content is taken from Serre's original references. However, we provide a few new examples and supply references to recent progress developed in the area.

We present experimental evidence to support the widely held belief that one half of all elliptic curves have infinitely many rational points. The method used to gather this evidence is a refinement of an algorithm due to the author which is based upon rigid and crystalline cohomology.

We show that the reductions modulo primes $p\le x$ of the elliptic curve $$ Y^2 = X^3 + f(a)X + g(b), $$ behave as predicted by the Lang-Trotter and Sato-Tate conjectures, on average over integers $a \in [-A,A]$ and $b \in [-B,B]$ for $A$ and $B$ reasonably small compared to $x$, provided that $f(T), g(T) \in \Z[T]$ are not powers of another polynomial over $\Q$. For $f(T) = g(T) = T$ first results of this kind are due to E. Fouvry and M. R. Murty and have been further exte...

We give a proof of a soft version of the $p$-converse to a theorem of Gross--Zagier and Kolyvagin for non-CM elliptic curves with good ordinary reduction at $p >3$ under the irreducibility assumption on the residual representation. In particular, no condition on the conductor is imposed. Combining with the known results, we obtain that the Mordell-Weil rank is one and the Tate-Shafarevich group is finite if and only if the analytic rank is one for every elliptic curve over th...

Let $p$ be an odd prime. We study Mazur's conjecture on the growth of the Mordell--Weil ranks of an elliptic curve $E/\mathbb{Q}$ over $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extensions of an imaginary quadratic field, where $p$ is a prime of good reduction for $E$. In particular, we obtain criteria that may be checked through explicit calculation, thus allowing for the verification of Mazur's conjecture in specific examples.

Nagao's conjecture relates the rank of an elliptic surface to a limit formula arising from a weighted average of fibral Frobenius traces, and it is further generalized for smooth irreducible projective surfaces by M. Hindry and A. Pacheco. We show that the Sato-Tate conjecture based on the random matrix model implies Nagao's conjecture for certain twist families of elliptic curves and hyperelliptic curves.

We derive new bounds for moments of the error in the Sato-Tate law over families of elliptic curves. Our estimates are stronger than those obtained by W.D. Banks and I.E. Shparlinski (arXiv:math/0609144) and L. Zhao and the fist-named author in (arXiv:math/0608318) for the first and second moments, but this comes at the cost of larger ranges of averaging. As applications, we deduce new almost-all results for the said errors and a conditional Central Limit Theorem on the distr...

In his ground-breaking work, K. Kato constructed the Euler system of Beilinson--Kato's zeta elements and proved spectacular results on the Iwasawa main conjecture for elliptic curves and the classical and $p$-adic Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjectures by using these elements. The goal of this expository lecture note is to explain how Kato's Euler systems fit into the framework of the arithmetic of elliptic curves and their Iwasawa theory, and we hope that this approach eventu...