Block-Structure Based Time-Series Models For Graph Sequences

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including maximum likelihood estimation algorithms. We discuss models of this type and their properties, and give examples, as well as a demonstration of their use for hypothesis testing and classification. We believe our temporal ERG models represent a us...

Dynamic networks are a general language for describing time-evolving complex systems, and discrete time network models provide an emerging statistical technique for various applications. It is a fundamental research question to detect the community structure in time-evolving networks. However, due to significant computational challenges and difficulties in modeling communities of time-evolving networks, there is little progress in the current literature to effectively find co...

This paper proposes a simple generative model to detect change points in time series of graphs. The proposed framework consists of learnable prior distributions for low-dimensional graph representations and of a decoder that can generate dynamic graphs from the latent representations. The informative prior distributions in the latent spaces are learned from observed data as empirical Bayes, and the expressive power of a generative model is exploited to assist change point det...

The stochastic block model (SBM) is one of the most widely used generative models for network data. Many continuous-time dynamic network models are built upon the same assumption as the SBM: edges or events between all pairs of nodes are conditionally independent given the block or community memberships, which prevents them from reproducing higher-order motifs such as triangles that are commonly observed in real networks. We propose the multivariate community Hawkes (MULCH) m...

Community finding algorithms for networks have recently been extended to dynamic data. Most of these recent methods aim at exhibiting community partitions from successive graph snapshots and thereafter connecting or smoothing these partitions using clever time-dependent features and sampling techniques. These approaches are nonetheless achieving longitudinal rather than dynamic community detection. We assume that communities are fundamentally defined by the repetition of inte...

A common goal in network modeling is to uncover the latent community structure present among nodes. For many real-world networks, the true connections consist of events arriving as streams, which are then aggregated to form edges, ignoring the dynamic temporal component. A natural way to take account of these temporal dynamics of interactions is to use point processes as the foundation of network models for community detection. Computational complexity hampers the scalability...

In many complex systems, networks and graphs arise in a natural manner. Often, time evolving behavior can be easily found and modeled using time-series methodology. Amongst others, two common research problems in network analysis are community detection and change-point detection. Community detection aims at finding specific sub-structures within the networks, and change-point detection tries to find the time points at which sub-structures change. We propose a novel methodolo...

Networks are useful representations of many systems with interacting entities, such as social, biological and physical systems. Characterizing the meso-scale organization, i.e. the community structure, is an important problem in network science. Community detection aims to partition the network into sets of nodes that are densely connected internally but sparsely connected to other dense sets of nodes. Current work on community detection mostly focuses on static networks. How...

To capture the inherent geometric features of many community detection problems, we propose to use a new random graph model of communities that we call a Geometric Block Model. The geometric block model generalizes the random geometric graphs in the same way that the well-studied stochastic block model generalizes the Erdos-Renyi random graphs. It is also a natural extension of random community models inspired by the recent theoretical and practical advancement in community d...

This paper endeavors to learn time-varying graphs by using structured temporal priors that assume underlying relations between arbitrary two graphs in the graph sequence. Different from many existing chain structure based methods in which the priors like temporal homogeneity can only describe the variations of two consecutive graphs, we propose a structure named \emph{temporal graph} to characterize the underlying real temporal relations. Under this framework, the chain struc...